After California, what?
I usually don’t waste my time blogging about American politics, but this is an interesting year. Tonight is the vote in California — if the superannuated social-fascist Sanders wins, Clinton is the political equivalent of the walking dead. So, I thought I would set down a few notes about where things might go next.
Win or lose in California, it is going to be an interesting next 24 hours in the Sanders camp. Honestly, I don’t think the Berniebots have the courage for an independent bid. So I assume they will kiss the ring after much anguish.
At least sixty percent of voters hate both Trump and Clinton, which means Sanders can be president if he wants it. Yet, Berniebots haven’t even mounted a real draft movement yet, nor raised money for one. This private model shows Sanders beating both Trump and Clinton in the 3-way race with Clinton placing third.
If you want to know why the DemoKraps are so anxious to get Sanders on board before the convention, they likely have a similar model.
Of course, Sanders has no governmental infrastructure. Which means, even if he won, he would be relying almost entirely on Democrat appointees. Much like Obama relied on Clinton appointees, the same faces will likely fill a Sanders administration. Plus, neither the House or the Senate will change, leaving Sanders facing the same intractable chaos. Both parties will be wounded, but not dead and still capable of doing much mischief. Forced out of the White House, the fascists will try to drive the agenda from Congress and they will likely succeed. Congress can basically prevent Sanders from implementing his agenda without much problem, but Washington will be frozen.
Which likely means the best the Left can hope for is to tie Washington up in knots for 4-8 years. I don’t think the Left can be satisfied with preventing Washington from acting for four years, so they will most likely fold and capitulate to Clinton. At base, the Left only wants the power to put its own brand of social-fascism into place, not prevent Washington from acting.
The bottom line is, I think, that Sanders knows he can win, but also knows he cannot govern. So, he will fold like a cheap suit. The second best option is an independent party that does not quite win, but launches a movement to gain control of state houses and Congress. Much of Sanders agenda can be implemented on the state level and used as a springboard for 2020. The Left, however, is singularly incapable of such an effort, which would be rife with sectarianism and opportunists.
That basically gives us three reasons to expect Sanders to fold: lack of courage, lack of infrastructure and lack of discipline.